7/6 – Dinger Tuesday Plays

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Dinger Tuesday

Dinger Tuesday is a promotion that FanDuel offers every Tuesday. If you opt-in and place a $25 pre-game bet on a player to hit a HR, you will get $5 back for every HR hit in that game (max $25) regardless of whether your player hit a HR.

So, for example, if we take Kris Bryant +300 to hit a HR in a Cubs-Cardinals game ($25 to win $75) and he doesn’t HR but the game has a total of 3 HR, we would get $15 back for a net loss of $10.

If, in the hypothetical scenario described above, Kris Bryant did have one of the 3 HR we would win $75 on the Bryant HR plus get the $15 back for a net total of $90.

Stats Referenced Below

HR = Home Runs
Barrel % = Barrel Percentage (Percentage of batted balls hit on the barrel of bat)
Hard Hit % = Hard Contact Percentage (Percentage of hard-hit batted balls)
FB% = Fly Ball Percentage (% of balls in play that are fly balls)
HR/FB = Home Run to Fly Ball Rate (% of fly balls that go for Home Runs)
HR/9 = Home Runs per 9 innings (# of HR a pitcher allows per 9 innings)

The pitching stats I gather are from the past month and the hitting stats I gather are from the past three weeks*.

*Please note that some of the hitting stats may not have included stats from the past 1-2 days as I need to start my research on Sunday-Monday to get it all done on time.

Philadelphia (Nola) @ Chicago (Arrieta)
Pre-Game Total: 10
Pitcher we are targeting: Arrieta (Chicago) – 7.8% Barrel, 50% Hard Hit, 23.4% FB, 33.3% HR/FB, 2.29 HR/9
Official Pick: Bryce Harper (+330) $25 to win $82.50 –
6 HR, 26.9% Barrel, 46.2% Hard Hit, 50% FB, 46.2% HR/FB

Cincinnati (Castillo) @ Kansas City (Bubic)
Pre-Game Total: 9.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Bubic (Kansas City) – 16.4% Barrel, 50.8% Hard Hit, 35% FB, 47.6% HR/FB, 4.91 HR/9
Official Pick: Eugenio Suarez (+380) $25 to win $95 –
3 HR, 11.8% Barrel, 47.1% Hard Hit, 35.3% FB, 25% HR/FB

Detroit (Urena) @ Texas (Dunning)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: Urena (Tigers) – 10.8% Barrel, 48.6% Hard Hit, 37.8% FB, 28.6 HR/FB, 4.00 HR/9
Official Pick: Joey Gallo (+230) $25 to win $57.50 –
8 HR, 42.9% Barrel, 61.9% Hard Hit, 61.9% FB, 61.5% HR/FB

Boston (Eovaldi) @ Los Angeles (Ohtani)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: Ohtani (Los Angeles) – 8.7% Barrel, 45.7% Hard Hit, 27.3% FB, 16.7% HR/FB, 1.02 HR/9
Official Pick: Rafael Devers (+280) $25 to win $70 – 2 HR, 11.1% Barrel, 47.2% Hard Hit, 34.3% FB, 16.7% HR/FB

New York (Taillon) @ Seattle (Sheffield)
Pre-Game Total: 9.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Sheffield (Seattle) – 13.8% Barrel, 55.4% Hard Hit, 35.4% FB, 26.1 HR/FB, 3.12 HR/9
Official Pick: Aaron Judge (+210) $25 to win $52.50 – 4 HR, 29.6% Barrel, 55.6% Hard Hit, 51.9% FB%, 28.6% HR/FB

Colorado (Gray) @ Arizona (Kelly)
Pre-Game Total: 8.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Kelly (Arizona) – 6.2% Barrel, 37.0% Hard Hit, 30% FB, 16.7% HR/FB, 1.29 HR/9
Official Pick: Trevor Story (+410) $25 to win $102.50 – 5 HR, 18.2% Barrel, 42.4% Hard Hit, 66.7% FB, 22.7% HR/FB

St. Louis (Wainwright) @ San Francisco (Cueto)
Pre-Game Total: 8
Pitcher we are targeting: Cueto (San Francisco) – 9.7% Barrel, 43% Hard Hit, 38.6% FB, 23.5% HR/FB, 2.60 HR/9
Official Pick: Paul Goldschmidt (+320) $25 to win $80 – 2 HR, 12.2% Barrel, 61% Hard Hit, 36.6% FB, 13.3% HR/FB

Official Plays – 7/6 Dinger Tuesday (FanDuel)

Bryce Harper (+330) to HR: $25 to win $82.50
Eugenio Suarez (+380) to HR: $25 to win $95
Joey Gallo (+230) to HR: $25 to win $57.50
Rafael Devers (+280) to HR: $25 to win $70
Aaron Judge (+210) to HR: $25 to win $52.50
Trevor Story (+410) to HR: $25 to win $102.50
Paul Goldschmidt (+320) to HR: $25 to win $80

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