7/20 – Dinger Tuesday Plays

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Dinger Tuesday

Dinger Tuesday is a promotion that FanDuel offers every Tuesday. If you opt-in and place a $25 pre-game bet on a player to hit a HR, you will get $5 back for every HR hit in that game (max $25) regardless of whether your player hit a HR.

So, for example, if we take Kris Bryant +300 to hit a HR in a Cubs-Cardinals game ($25 to win $75) and he doesn’t HR but the game has a total of 3 HR, we would get $15 back for a net loss of $10.

If, in the hypothetical scenario described above, Kris Bryant did have one of the 3 HR we would win $75 on the Bryant HR plus get the $15 back for a net total of $90.

Last Week Recap

Last Week Dinger

Actually, it was two weeks ago since last week was the All-Star Break. We only got one HR in our seven games, but that was enough to vault us into a positive night. We got $95 worth of bonus money and ended up with a +$27.50 night. I’ll never complain about turning a profit. On to the next one.

Stats Referenced Below

HR = Home Runs
Barrel % = Barrel Percentage (Percentage of batted balls hit on the barrel of bat)
Hard Hit % = Hard Contact Percentage (Percentage of hard-hit batted balls)
FB% = Fly Ball Percentage (% of balls in play that are fly balls)
HR/FB = Home Run to Fly Ball Rate (% of fly balls that go for Home Runs)
HR/9 = Home Runs per 9 innings (# of HR a pitcher allows per 9 innings)

The pitching stats I gather are from the past month and the hitting stats I gather are from the past three weeks*.

*Please note that some of the hitting stats may not have included stats from the past 1-2 days as I need to start my research on Sunday-Monday to get it all done on time.

Minnesota (Ober) @ Chicago (AL) (Keuchel)
Pre-Game Total: 9.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Ober, RHP (Minnesota) – 6.3% Barrel, 43.8% Hard Hit, 44.7% FB, 28.6% HR/FB, 3.38 HR/9
Official Pick: Gavin Sheets (+440) $25 to win $110 –
4 HR, 13.9% Barrel, 50.0% Hard Hit, 41.7% FB, 26.7% HR/FB

Chicago (NL) (Williams) @ St. Louis (TBA)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: Williams, RHP (Cubs) – 12.5% Barrel, 50.0% Hard Hit, 20.0% FB, 33.3 HR/FB, 2.45 HR/9 (Small Sample Size)
Official Pick: Tyler O’Neil (+400) $25 to win $100 –
1 HR, 13.3% Barrel, 60.0% Hard Hit, 43.3% FB, 7.7% HR/FB

Los Angeles (AL) (Suarez) @ Oakland (Kaprielian)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: Kaprielian, RHP (Oakland) – 12.5% Barrel, 45.3% Hard Hit, 37.5% FB, 20.8% HR/FB, 1.88 HR/9
Official Pick: Jared Walsh (+310) $25 to win $77.50 – 4 HR, 15.2% Barrel, 52.2% Hard Hit, 37.0% FB, 23.5% HR/FB

Philadelphia (Nola) @ New York (AL) (German)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: German, RHP (New York) – 7.0% Barrel, 55.8% Hard Hit, 33.3% FB, 14.3 HR/FB, 1.38 HR/9
Official Pick: Bryce Harper (+220) $25 to win $55 – 4 HR, 16.3% Barrel, 57.1% Hard Hit, 25.0% FB%, 33.3% HR/FB

Boston (Richards) @ Toronto (Manoah)
Pre-Game Total: 11.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Richards, RHP (Boston) – 9.0% Barrel, 40.3% Hard Hit, 31.3% FB, 23.8% HR/FB, 2.60 HR/9
Official Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr (+270) $25 to win $67.50 – 5 HR, 23.1% Barrel, 61.5% Hard Hit, 38.5% FB, 33.3% HR/FB

Seattle (Gonzales) @ Colorado (Marquez)
Pre-Game Total: 11
Pitcher we are targeting: Gonzales, LHP (Seattle) – 14.0% Barrel, 40.0% Hard Hit, 46.9% FB, 21.7% HR/FB, 2.93 HR/9
Official Pick: CJ Cron (+300) $25 to win $75 – 3 HR, 11.1% Barrel, 38.9% Hard Hit, 47.2% FB, 17.6% HR/FB

Official Plays – 7/20 Dinger Tuesday (FanDuel)

Gavin Sheets (+440) to HR: $25 to win $110
Tyler O’Neil (+400) to HR: $25 to win $100
Jared Walsh (+310) to HR: $25 to win $77.50
Bryce Harper (+220) to HR: $25 to win $55
Vladimir Guerrero Jr (+270) to HR: $25 to win $67.50
CJ Cron (+300) to HR: $25 to win $75

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