7/27 – Dinger Tuesday Plays

What is Dinger Tuesday?

Dinger Tuesday

Dinger Tuesday is a promotion that FanDuel offers every Tuesday. If you opt-in and place a $25 pre-game bet on a player to hit a HR, you will get $5 back for every HR hit in that game (max $25) regardless of whether your player hit a HR.

So, for example, if we take Kris Bryant +300 to hit a HR in a Cubs-Cardinals game ($25 to win $75) and he doesn’t HR but the game has a total of 3 HR, we would get $15 back for a net loss of $10.

If, in the hypothetical scenario described above, Kris Bryant did have one of the 3 HR we would win $75 on the Bryant HR plus get the $15 back for a net total of $90.

Last Week Recap

Last Week Dinger

I only ended up with action in five games (our 6th got rained out) and CJ Cron went deep at +300 leading to a +$60 night for me. I’m now 2-for-2 with positive dinger Tuesday nights.

Stats Referenced Below

HR = Home Runs
Barrel % = Barrel Percentage (Percentage of batted balls hit on the barrel of bat)
Hard Hit % = Hard Contact Percentage (Percentage of hard-hit batted balls)
FB% = Fly Ball Percentage (% of balls in play that are fly balls)
HR/FB = Home Run to Fly Ball Rate (% of fly balls that go for Home Runs)
HR/9 = Home Runs per 9 innings (# of HR a pitcher allows per 9 innings)

The pitching stats I gather are from the past month and the hitting stats I gather are from the past three weeks*.

*Please note that some of the hitting stats may not have included stats from the past 1-2 days as I need to start my research on Sunday-Monday to get it all done on time.

Cincinnati (Gutierrez) @ Chicago (NL) (Alzolay)
Pre-Game Total: 10
Pitcher we are targeting: Alzolay, RHP (Chicago, NL) – 10.7% Barrel, 44.0% Hard Hit, 38.9% FB, 28.6% HR/FB, 2.77 HR/9
Official Pick: Jesse Winker (+310) $25 to win $77.50 –
1 HR, 6.1% Barrel, 40.8% Hard Hit, 24.5% FB, 8.3% HR/FB

Washington (Fedde) @ Philadelphia (Moore)
Pre-Game Total: 10.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Moore, LHP (Phillies) – 8.6% Barrel, 39.7% Hard Hit, 43.9% FB, 16.0 HR/FB, 1.93 HR/9
Official Pick: Juan Soto (+290) $25 to win $72.50 –
8 HR, 18.6% Barrel, 55.8% Hard Hit, 34.9% FB, 53.3% HR/FB

Toronto (Ray) @ Boston (Richards)
Pre-Game Total: 10.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Richards, RHP (Boston) – 9.3% Barrel, 38.7% Hard Hit, 30.7% FB, 26.1% HR/FB, 2.53 HR/9
Official Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+260) $25 to win $65 – 5 HR, 16.2% Barrel, 59.5% Hard Hit, 48.6% FB, 27.8% HR/FB

Arizona (Widener) @ Texas (Dunning)
Pre-Game Total: 8.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Widener RHP (Arizona) – 8.0% Barrel, 44.0% Hard Hit, 50.0% FB, 25.0 HR/FB, 3.00 HR/9
Official Pick: Joey Gallo (+200) $25 to win $50 – 3 HR, 14.3% Barrel, 38.1% Hard Hit, 42.9% FB%, 33.3% HR/FB

Chicago (AL) (Cease) @ Kansas City (Keller)
Pre-Game Total: 9.5
Pitcher we are targeting: Cease, RHP (Chicago, AL) – 11.8% Barrel, 36.8% Hard Hit, 41.8% FB, 21.4% HR/FB, 2.00 HR/9
Official Pick: Carlos Santana (+550) $25 to win $137.50 – 5 HR, 20.7% Barrel, 62.1% Hard Hit, 48.3% FB, 35.7% HR/FB

Colorado (Gomber) @ Los Angeles (AL) (Suarez)
Pre-Game Total: 9
Pitcher we are targeting: Gomber, LHP (Colorado) – 11.8% Barrel, 35.3% Hard Hit, 41.2% FB, 42.9% HR/FB, 4.50 HR/9
Official Pick: Shohei Ohtani (+190) $25 to win $47.50 – 4 HR, 30.8% Barrel, 53.8% Hard Hit, 46.2% FB, 33.3% HR/FB

Official Plays – 7/20 Dinger Tuesday (FanDuel)

Jesse Winker (+310) to HR: $25 to win $77.50
Juan Soto (+290) to HR: $25 to win $72.50
Vladimir Guerrero Jr (+260) to HR: $25 to win $65
Joey Gallo (+200) to HR: $25 to win $50
Carlos Santana (+550) to HR: $25 to win $137.50
Shohei Ohtani (+190) to HR: $25 to win $47.50

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