Week 6 NFL Official Plays

YTD NFL Results

Week 1: 2-1, +1.85 Units
Week 2: 1-0, +2.00 Units
Week 3: 0-0, +0.00 Units
Week 4: 2-0, +3.50 Units
Week 5: 2-1, +2.80 Units
YTD: 7-2, +10.15 Units

Week 6 Official Play Write-Ups

C. Holcomb (WAS) Over 8.5 Tackles + Assists (-135) vs Kansas City (Draft Kings)


I like to bet on defenders that figure to be on the field a lot to go over on tackles + assists plays. Holcomb is a 100% snap count linebacker for Washington and he is going up against a Kansas City defense that is one of the highest in the league in offensive plays/game. So he figures to have plenty of opportunities to accumulate tackles. My model projects 69.91 offensive snaps for Kansas City this week which is the highest total for any team this week. The model also projects 40.7 Kansas City pass attempts for the game. I think that bodes really well for Holcomb because his 3 best games of the year in terms of tackles + assists have come in games where the opponent has thrown 40+ passes (9 vs Atlanta, 15 vs Buffalo, and 11 vs. the Chargers).

Official Plays – Week 6

C. Holcomb (WAS) Over 8.5 Tackles + Ast (-135) vs Kansas City (DraftKings)
Risking 3.00 Units to win 2.22 Units

One thought on “Week 6 NFL Official Plays

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