Last Week Recap

Week 3: 2-0, +4.00 Units
YTD: 5-2, +5.76 Units

A nice 2-0 week. Seattle was closer than it should have been because of their turnovers again (2 TO’s to 0) and the fact that they went 0-for-4 on 3-PT Conversion attempts. They outgained their opponent by 2.4 YPP which is a really high amount.

DC was a pretty easy winner. They are now 3-0 on the season which is nice for our +650 to win the XFL Championship future bet.

Official Plays – XFL Week 4

Please note: Plays were locked in on my Patreon on Monday afternoon. Some lines have moved since then. Subscribe to my Patreon to get my plays as soon as I make them.

San Antonio @ Seattle (-3) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

After giving away games in the first two weeks, Seattle finally got their first win last week. Dinucci threw for 377 yards & they finally got Josh Gordon more involved as he had 6 receptions for 118 yards & 2 TD. He can dominate this league and it sounds like they finally realized that.

Seattle has a pretty good homefield advantage and they get a late Saturday night game, so the crowd should be pretty rowdy. They also get an extra day to prepare as they played on Saturday last week, while San Antonio played the Sunday night game. That’s a nice boost for our play.

The Seattle offense put up a very lofty 8.2 yards per play last week in Vegas, which is very impressive. They continue to be #1 in Net Yards Per play. What has killed them in the past have been the turnovers, but I’m hoping they are starting to clean that up and the San Antonio defense only has 0.7 takeaways/game so hopefully the TO’s won’t be too bad.

If they can hang on to the ball, the Seattle defense should roll. They are #1 in YPP vs the SA defense that is #6. They are also #1 in Rush Yards Per Play compared to the SA defense that is #7.

Arlington @ St. Louis (-4) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

Arlington might be the worst team in the league. They narrowly escaped on Sunday with a 10-9 home victory over Orlando (who appeared to be the clear worst team heading into that game). Orlando pretty much outplayed them, but the had too many penalties. Arlington’s offense has been terrible all year, and the switch to Kyle Slotter at QB last week did nothing to jump start that unit. They are last in the league in YPPs.

This is actually St. Louis first home game of the season after starting the year with 3 straight road games. In 2020 (before the league got cancelled) they had a crazy good home field advantage (similar to DC). Based on what I’m seeing on Twitter, I think the fans are really going to come out again for them this Sunday. I’m expecting them to really take advantage of that and win a relatively easy game against a struggling Arlington team.

Official Card – XFL Week 4

San Antonio @ Seattle (-3) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

Arlington @ St. Louis (-4) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units