Last Week Recap

Week 4: 2-0, +4.00 Units
YTD: 7-2, +9.76 Units

Both of these won pretty easily. We’re rolling right now in the XFL, having won 7 straight games. Let’s keep it going this week!

Week 5 Official Plays

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Official Plays – XFL Week 5

Houston @ Seattle (+3) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

This is a Thursday night game, so both teams are on short rest. I think Seattle is starting to play their best football. What killed them early in the season was their turnovers, but those have been trending in the right direction with only 2 TO’s in Week 3 and only 1 last week (and it came at the very end of the game when things we’re pretty much out of reach). I’m slightly worried because Houston as forced a lot of TOs, but I think that has a lot to do with the teams they’ve played this far. Seattle is #1 in NET YPP, #1 in offensive YPP & #2 in defensive YPP. They’ve outgained their opponents by 2+ Net YPP in their last two weeks.

Houston has been good, but I suspect their stats are a little inflated by their schedule up until this point. Of their 4 games, they’ve played Orlando (0-4) twice & Arlington once. Those are the two worst teams in the league by a wide margin according to my power rankings. Their other game was against a mid-tier San Antonio team, so they haven’t played a Top 3 team yet in my opinion.

Going on the road in a short week against a team that I have power ranked pretty high is a tough task. I think Seattle probably ends up winning this game, so I’m happy to take the 3 points with the home dog.

DC @ St. Louis (+2) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

DC beat STL a few weeks ago in DC, but now I think STL will return the favor at home. They played their first home game on Sunday and set the record for attendance in a Spring Football game. Now they get a Saturday night game against the team they are competing with for first place in the division? I expect the Dome to be absolutely rocking and it will be one of the bigger Home Field Advantages of the year. I think these two teams are pretty evenly matched up so I like the home team. DC’s defense looked a little leaky last night, giving up 6.7 ypp to a Vegas team that played their #2 QB for the majority of the game. I love our Defenders, and still feel good about our +650 future, but STL is a good team as well and I think they get this one at home.

Arlington @ San Antonio (-1.5) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

I’m pretty sure Arlington is terrible and will continue to be a pretty good fade for us as the sportsbooks seem to have them power ranked above where I have them. They are 2-2 on the season, but their 2 wins came against teams that are a combined 0-8 but a combined 3 points. Not impressive. Their offense is #7 in points & #8 in ypp and now go up against a San Antonio defense that has been strong: #2 in points allowed & #3 in YPP despite having to play Houston, St. Louis & Seattle this season.

San Antonio has played 3 road games in a row, since losing a home breaker at home in Week one so I think being back home in the dome will help them here. Give me the Brahmas with a comfortable win in this one.

Official Card – XFL Week 5

Houston @ Seattle (+3) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

DC @ St. Louis (+2) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units

Arlington @ San Antonio (-1.5) (-110) (Draft Kings)
Risking 2.20 Units to win 2.00 Units